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I am thinking of a planet (I suppose one would call it a parallel earth) where the industrial revolution never happens, and people live with 1700s technology forever. What differences in resources/weather/environment/available land area could ensure that it doesn't happen, and what impact would these changes have on other aspects of society?

Cyn
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Sheikchilli
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  • Welcome to Worldbuilding.SE! We're glad you could join us! When you have a moment, please click here to learn more about our culture and take our [tour]. You're asking what we call a high concept question, which isn't a good fit for our site. The SE model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer and you've asked two - one of which (impact on society) is too broad/opinion-based to answer. Please [edit] your question to meet our [help] guidelines. – JBH Apr 12 '19 at 14:08
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    1700s tech includes the printing press, the telescope and the microscope and good clocks; there are already universities teaching science. I think, industrial revolution is almost unavoidable at that point and can only be delayed. – Sir Cornflakes Apr 12 '19 at 16:05
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    While not everyone agrees on the no fossil fuels thing, if you go that route, there is a very easy scientific way to do it. Most of the world's fossil fuels exist because plants developed cellulose 60 million years before any organism learned how to digest it; so, every plant that died was unable to decompose and became fossil fuels instead. Eliminate that wait, and you have no fossil fuel industry. – Nosajimiki Apr 12 '19 at 18:54
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    @GreenieE. The industrial revolution did not rely upon steam engines (more the needs of the industrial revolution inspired more interest in steam engines). Also, changing the chemical structure of water carries far more dramatic effects than just inhibiting steam engines. – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 20:13

19 Answers19

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Limit the availability of raw materials, in particular fossil fuels and iron. Without fossil fuels you are limited to wood burning as a power source which is far less energy dense and a much more finite supply. Without iron it's much harder to make much of the earlier engineering feats.

This means you don't get useful steam engines or railways which were two of the largest factors in industrialization. This would also extend out to mining which becomes harder, etc.

The life of most people would not be impacted as much (iron, steel and in particular steel weapons would be extremely rare and valuable) but would continue as normal.

Eventually you can expect people to find a way around these limitations so there would still be technological advancement but it would be much slower. So you can't achieve "for ever" but you could conceivably have centuries of millennia of very slow advancement before enough breakthroughs are made to unlock alternative technologies.

Tim B
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    Really, just limit coal -- you'll keep steel an expensive luxury item, used in swords and armor (by the rich) and little else. You'll be centuries just developing the ability to drill for oil. – Zeiss Ikon Apr 12 '19 at 14:06
  • what alternative technologies could these be? – Sheikchilli Apr 12 '19 at 14:21
  • Couldn't you still make charcoal? – genesis Apr 12 '19 at 14:23
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    @genesis You could, but wood is limited by arable surface (think wood as a very, very inefficient solar collector). There isn't enough surface to fuel an industrial revolution. Fossil fuels are a solar battery that was filled by tens of millions of years during the Carboniferous. – Eth Apr 12 '19 at 14:27
  • Now I am wondering if you couldn't just do everything with wind and solar power. Can't come up with a good way to power trains, though. Then again, Wikipedia seems to suggest that the industrial revolution predates the steam locomotive. – genesis Apr 12 '19 at 14:41
  • @genesis The main problem is that there is not enough energy available. With XXIe century tech, you could do it, thanks to efficient, light engines and efficient collectors. With XIXe century tech that can at best get a few % of efficiency (both for collectors and engines), there is simply not enough to run the eponymous industries of said revolution in its XIXe century form. You could have a few trains running on charcoal or compressed air, for example, but not the rail transport revolution. – Eth Apr 12 '19 at 14:51
  • Charcoal is not good enough for some kind of industries that use high temperatures, for those you need coke. – Santiago Apr 12 '19 at 14:54
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    The industrial revolution does not need steam engines. Water power works as well, and wood fired trains run fine too, even if not as efficient, and necessity might get people to look earlier at oil or gas fired trains, or use alcohol as fuel. Never underestimate the ingenuity of people, the absence of coal will change but not stop the industrial revolution – Whitecold Apr 12 '19 at 14:54
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    Alcohol! That's what I was looking for! Or biological gases! – genesis Apr 12 '19 at 14:56
  • Wood gas works quite well - petrol shortages saw people modify buses and cars to run on wood gas in England during the second world war – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 14:59
  • Coal did not replace charcoal in metallurgy until mid-XVIII century, when industrial revolution has already started. Lack of coal would stunt the industrialization, but not cancel it. – Alexander Apr 12 '19 at 16:34
  • @Santiago exactly what industries necessary for the industrial revolution do you think needed coke in particular? The only thing I can think of is iron smelting, and it certainly helped in large-scale production thereof and in later steelmaking processes. That brought the cost of iron down a bit, which facilitated the industrial-scale use of iron, but it is hardly a requirement for technological development. – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 18:22
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    @Whitecold Not only does water work, it did work. Factories had 50-100 years of using water power before steam engines replaced it. And even then, the layout of factories and the size of steam engines was dictated by driving the old water-powered machinery. – Graham Apr 12 '19 at 18:45
  • @Whitecold, producing steel pretty much requires coal or charcoal. It's not just a matter of heat: part of the carbon in your fuel combines with the iron to produce steel. – Mark Apr 13 '19 at 00:43
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    limiting iron is going to hold back tech to far earlier than the 1700's – John Apr 13 '19 at 01:58
  • @genesis You might not wnat your comment to appear out of context ;) – Hagen von Eitzen Apr 13 '19 at 22:18
  • @Whitecold You are overseeing the fact that using wood we kill our planet far, far earlier than we are already doing now. In particular, we kill it way before our science or technology are mature enough to predict, avoid or mitigate the changes. – Rekesoft Apr 15 '19 at 08:44
  • @Graham That sounds interesting. Got any links? – genesis Apr 15 '19 at 09:10
  • @genesis Plenty around the UK, some still standing. Cressbrook Mill is a very obvious example of a factory whose location was entirely due to water power. Most industrial museums in the UK will tell you about it though. – Graham Apr 15 '19 at 09:57
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    @genesis This site is a great resource, and has info on some fairly modern water-powered appliances: https://www.lowtechmagazine.com/2013/09/power-from-the-tap-water-motors.html – pluckedkiwi Apr 23 '19 at 19:00
  • @Rekesoft the industrial revolution will not be identical, and I would not claim you can reach the same level as today, or that you will not get a collapse earlier, but you will not freeze tech development at 1700, which the question asks for. – Whitecold Apr 29 '19 at 09:04
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That is far too advanced to expect technology to remain static for long. Technology advances without new resources - new resources certainly shape how technology advances, but better methods and processes develop using the same resource constraints.

Coal is not the cause of industrialization, so eliminating it will not prevent advancement. This may be suggested as people misunderstand the industrial revolution and think it was caused by steam-power, but the industrial revolution was already well underway before that became widespread (causality runs the other way - it is the industrial revolution which leads to the development of steam power as innovators sought ways to feed the rapidly growing power needs). Charcoal is nearly as good for most purposes anyway, so you would see all the effort that went into coal mining go into tree farms and kilns, and likely transport of charcoal from areas with plentiful forests.

Water power was extensively used for industrial purposes but was supplanted because conditions made coal-fired steam engines cheaper. Canals were being built at a rapid place to facilitate trade before railroads became cheaper. Windmills were used where water was either scarce or slow-moving (I've been fascinated by the Dutch sawmills). While certainly more expensive and more constrained than steam engines, these still power development.

Imposing sufficient constraints to prevent people developing beyond the 18th century standards would be sufficient constraints that they would be unable to attain even that level of development.

Developments like capitalism, assembly-line production, standardized replaceable parts, cargo containerization, and most of the truly innovative changes which allowed the amazing economic development we enjoy today do not rely upon any resources beyond the human mind.

The constraint will need to be societal in nature, like a strong religious prohibition on any changes, but that will not last forever as there will always be those who question.

pluckedkiwi
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  • I have to disagree. You can sustain limited industrialization with sources such as water wheels, charcoal burning engines, etc. There just is not enough space to grow enough trees to replace coal as a fuel source. Obviously it will not stop it completely but progress will stall once it is not possible to kick-start it with millions of years worth of stored solar power in the form of fossil fuels. – Tim B Apr 12 '19 at 16:39
  • @TimB I don't see this argument work in light of what the answer says about wind and water power. There is possiblity of moving from water to gas, for example, bypassing coal. Obviously you would have limitations due to coal used extensively in heating things, but the problem doesn't appear insurmountable. – Gnudiff Apr 12 '19 at 17:26
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    @TimB Not only was the industrial revolution well under way before steam engines (whole factories were built around waterwheels and it took a long time after their invention for steam engines to replace waterwheels), but coal is not necessary. Had coal not been available, industrial processes would have shifted form rather than been impossible. In the United States, where trees were certainly plentiful, charcoal was preferred until the mid 19th century and at least one charcoal blast furnace lasted until the end of WW2. – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 19:37
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    Charcoal would have become prohibitively expensive also. As the demand for charcoal rose without coal replacing it, many countries would have deforested their landscape. Eventually, they would have to rely on water or wind power, but with devastated ecosystems. – Sonvar Apr 12 '19 at 22:44
  • @Sonvar that would not have stopped people from using charcoal, many countries deforested their land anyway. Really the big invention that kick starts the industrial revolution is the invention of the metal lathe which creates the ability to make precision machinery. – John Apr 13 '19 at 02:00
  • @Sonvar, the larger deforestation would cause a couple more collapses than it did, but people would still realize they need to manage the forests as they did, and the limited resources would slow down the progress, but they would not get anywhere close to stopping it. – Jan Hudec Apr 13 '19 at 10:07
  • I agree here. At least capitalism and the rule of law play a large role in the industrial revolution. That is, the confidence that if you invest in something big, that you can reasonably expect a profit from that many years later. Urbanisation also plays a role, making sure that there are enough labourers around. – fishinear Apr 13 '19 at 15:52
  • Countries, such as Haiti deforested about 98% of their forest and are in very direct situation now environmentally. They never learned to manage their forests and their economy stagnated due to their dependence on wood for heating, cooking and power – Sonvar Apr 14 '19 at 07:21
  • There is famous science fiction novel by Soviet writers "Hard to Be a God". It describes society that stopped advancing in medieval age. – Maksim Turaev Jul 09 '19 at 06:23
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The (misconception here, there's been many industrial revolutions in major & minor countries over quite some time - even Switzerland had some) Industrial Revolutions have not just been about technology, but also about society.

The change from homeworking and small manufacturing to central factories and exporting goods had to go hand-in-hand with changes in how society worked and accepted these paradigm shifts.

  • People had to have reasons to work in these new factories powering new industries.
  • Laws had to be accommodating these new structures and allow for them - many medieval laws actively prevented any advances that destroyed working places, this changed with the renaissance..

Instead of removing resources, prevent changes in law - thus prevent reformation of societies. This will prevent any advances in industrialization and technology much longer than removing some resources.


TL;DR You can't prevent industrialization by getting rid of resources, but you can delay any huge technological advances by keeping society static.

dot_Sp0T
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I think that you will find that strong property rights are a common characteristic of peoples and nations that innovate in the way the English did in creating the industrial revolution. Why build a mill if somebody else is going to destroy it or take it away from you?

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    Don't forget copyright, patent, and trademark laws. While they stifle certain kinds of innovation, they allow the big leaps that bring technology forward by protecting large capital investments. – Nosajimiki Apr 12 '19 at 18:41
  • Speaking of property rights, there are some theories which claim industrial revolution should be traced to the process of enclosure in England, which sparked development and thus why they lead in industrialization. – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 19:54
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    Since Rome has been brought up so many times as a failure to industrialize, I'd like to point out that they experienced the same phenomenon following the Punic Wars with the establishment of Latifundia style farming. In certainly encourages urbanization, but numerous civilizations urbanized without industrializing (Rome, China, Egypt, Greece, etc). I feel like, most civilizations actually stagnate when they urbanize because it so strongly encourages social disparity, and ideological monopolies. – Nosajimiki Apr 13 '19 at 18:32
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Here are a number of ideas, some are more speculative and handwaving than others.

  • No Coal Deposits

Have some kind of bacteria that rapidly decomposes dead wood develope when trees come around. They would need to be quite resilient and have some extremophile cousins to decompose wood in anaerobic environments.

  • No Colonialism

This is really speculative but could work story wise. Have a ghost plage-ship reach the America 200 years before Columbus or have the Norse colonies on Vinland and Markland succeed. Both events would allow the Americans to develop immunities to European diseases, which killed 95% of the population before the Europeans came to colonize. The technological advantage would not have been sufficient to conquer native superpowers during that time. No American colonial nations would hamper European economies, because there would be fewer export markets. Without the colonial successes in the Americas the tedious adventures in Africa, South-East-Asia and India wouldn´t have a base. Especially the case of India is interesting, as the looting of India by the British and it's use as a resource mine and market might have been crucial for the industrial revolution to happen.

  • Slavery

Brasil isn´t a world power. That´s really odd as it is a huge, resource and manpower-rich country. The reason for that is that they didn´t industrialized, as their economy was slave-based. European economies weren´t slave-based because the Pope prohibited the enslavement of the recently baptized in 1435. Never let this happen and you got slave economies in Europe.

All that said I don´t feel that option two and three will be permanent. Option one with no coal means no industry or the rapid collapse of it when the forests are all cut down. An example of this would be the Mioan copper industry on Crete. This would hit all the countries equally. Options two and three would only hamper Europe. In that case, my money would be on one of the Mughal Empires Indian successor states or Japan starting the spiral of technological development. India had been one of the most industrialized regions of the world for millennia until the British came plundering. Japan had already developed high-sea ships, but they were shocked into isolationism upon contact with the more advanced Europeans. Keep the Europeans primitive and a Japanese colonial Empire could be the first step in and eastern technology arms race with Korea and Qing. But both the latter options would give you a few centuries longer of pre-industrial Europe to play around with.

TheDyingOfLight
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    None of these actually affect the industrial revolution. Coal comes close, but that is largely a misconception due to coal being heavily used in how the industrial revolution developed. Slavery is absolutely irrelevant (maybe even retards development), and colonialism likely cost more than it provided. There is simply no mechanism for those to be necessary for an industrial revolution. – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 15:02
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    @pluckedkiwi 1. How is coal a misconception? Without it as a dense energy surce there will be no steam engines. Wood won´t work due to deforestation. 2. Slavery is absolutely relevant, as the industrial revolution was about making work more efficient. Slaves are cheap workers who can be bread en masse if needed. Additionally slaves don´t buy as many products as free workers, so the markets would not demand industrialised production. 3. What kind of colonialism are you talking about? The Americas where maybe financially negative, but Asia was most defintively not. – TheDyingOfLight Apr 12 '19 at 15:23
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  • The industrial revolution got started without widespread use of coal. It was used extensively out of convenience, being relatively cheap and energy-dense, but there is no requirement for it. Coal certainly helped expand development more rapidly than without it, but this is not the same as being required for industrial innovation (one could even argue that it retarded technological developments in efficiency as it made inefficient processes less prohibitively expensive). I see no way that lacking coal would have prevented technological innovation.
  • – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 17:56
  • Slavery is irrelevant because it has no significant influence on the industrial revolution. Personally I find that excessively reductive to the point of being misleading. Development has a multitude of causes, of which slavery is not determinative (not least of which because of how you define "slave" vs serf vs itinerant worker). Climate, disease, cultural traits, good governance, extractive colonial governments, etc.
  • – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 18:09
  • Colonialism is not important for industrialization. Had Europeans not killed off the peoples in the Americas, they would have had an enormous population to trade with and exchange value. More trade makes everyone better off, not worse. The cost of colonizing a territory often exceeded the value gained by the colonizing nation - while they did get access to raw materials more reliably from a colony, the cost in oppression usually outweighed the value - they would have been better off engaging in trade in most circumstances.The idea that trade could only happen with a colony is silly.
  • – pluckedkiwi Apr 12 '19 at 18:14